CubeSat at 700 km could stay in orbit for over a century, but drag makes it a gamble

Calculating atmospheric drag on satellites for a Cubesat [pdf]

A 2010 Lawrence Livermore report by Wim de Vries presents a simple method to estimate orbital lifetime for CubeSats, combining an exponential atmosphere model with solar and geomagnetic indices. For a 3U CubeSat at 700 km, lifetimes range from about 10 to 57 years depending on cross-sectional area, with the smallest area exceeding 100 years. The model is calibrated against ISO standards and validated using the Genesat 1 CubeSat.

Re-entry is assumed once the object's altitude has dropped below 180 km. At these altitudes all but the most massive of objects de-orbit within a few hours, thereby serving as a convenient end-point to the calculation.
  1. snthd

    Related - spaceweather.com measure drag using the decay of starlink orbits.

    https://spaceweather.com/starlink/starlink_drag_explainer.ht...

  2. snthd

    https://web.archive.org/web/20260924014030/https://www.osti....

  3. ck2

    could LEO sats have pitot tubes? would they work at ultra-low drag?

    my Stryd has a pitot tube and can detect 1mph wind fairly accurately

    some advanced drones also have pitot tubes

    * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pitot_tube

    * https://store.3dr.com/pitot-tube-set/

More from this day

2026-09-26